Albo retains his mojo as Newspoll shows lift for Labor

The latest Newspoll has delivered good news for federal Labor and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

Dec 05, 2022, updated Dec 05, 2022
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has enjoyed a lift in support, according to the latest Newspoll.  (AAP Image/Mick Tsikas)

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has enjoyed a lift in support, according to the latest Newspoll. (AAP Image/Mick Tsikas)

Labor’s primary vote has lifted a point to 39 per cent while the Coalition remains unchanged on 35 per cent, according to the final Newspoll survey for the year.

Albanese also ­enjoyed a surge in support as preferred prime minister, the poll conducted for The Australian newspaper shows.

The result for Labor is is more than six points stronger than its election result of 32.6 per cent, while the Coalition’s result is almost a point down on its election tally of 35.7 per cent.

The two-party-preferred split between the major parties was unchanged at 55-45 per cent in Labor’s favour.

The Greens were ­unchanged with a primary vote of 11 per cent, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation was on 6 per cent while Clive Palmers’s deregistered United Australia Party attracted just 1 per cent.

Other minor parties, including the teal independents, dropped one point to 8 per cent, the Newspoll showed.

Satisfaction with Mr Albanese’s performance rose to a record high with a three-point gain to 62 per cent, while those saying they were dissatisfied fell four points to 29 per cent.

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton suffered a three-point decline in his satisfaction ratings to 36 per cent but those dissatisfied with his performance dropped from 46 per cent to 45 per cent.

The December Newspoll was conducted between Wednesday and Saturday and interviewed 1508 voters throughout Australia.

Meanwhile, an academic study has found a record one in three voters at the federal election in May cast a ballot for minor parties or independents.

It’s the biggest result for smaller players in Canberra in 100 years with experts saying it shows a slow decline in “rusted on” major party voters.

The figures come from the latest Australian Election Study from the Australian National University and Griffith University.

It found Albanese was the most popular leader since Kevin Rudd in 2007.

Albanese’s predecessor, former coalition prime minister Scott Morrison, was found to be the least popular leader since 1987.

In a warning to the major parties, the study noticed a decline in voter loyalty.

In 1967, about three in four said they always voted for the same party but in 2022 this had dropped to just over one in three.

Study co-author, the ANU’s Professor Ian McAllister, said this represented “large-scale abandonment” of the major parties.

“Voters are now less ‘rusted on’ to the major political parties and becoming more independently minded in their political choices,” McAllister said.

“This trend has been driven by wider societal changes, such as the huge expansion of higher education, the turnover of generations, the rise of social media and shifting issue priorities.”

The so-called teal independents and the Greens have reaped the rewards of this shift.

While 2022 was a big year for the teals, who booted Liberal MPs from the party’s treasured seats, McAllister said the momentum had been building for decades.

The other co-author of the study, Griffith University’s Dr Sarah Cameron, said it wasn’t enough for voters to fall out of love with major parties, they needed to have a viable alternative to shift their vote to.

She said in 2022 voters were dissatisfied with the major parties, in particular the coalition and Mr Morrison.

Meanwhile, the teals ran disciplined campaigns on issues the incumbent government was weak on, including climate change and gender equality.

“The medium-term success of the teals will depend on how much they can create a distinct political identity to carry to the 2025 federal election,” Cameron said.

Cameron and McAllister’s research also found less than one in five teal voters had previously voted for the coalition, with these people ideologically closer to Labor and the left of centre.


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